The Most Important Things in Betting
HI,
The following are the most
important things in good
betting and necessary if you want big winnings.
1. Get to know your teams
Study the teams , learn their strengths and
weaknesses, know their home and away records ,
and evaluate them objectively. Pay attention to
changes in the quality of a team from one
season to the other as players get older and
changes occur - players are transferred,
managers come and go. Major improvement or
decline from season to season is commonplace
in professional sports.
2. Bet on motivated teams
Sometimes a team doesn't play up to its
potential, but at other times may play well
above what is indicated by their overall record -
especially in critical games. Determine how
important a game is to a team . If the team has
already reached a play-off spot, they may be
more focused on the play-offs than the present
game. Conversely, a team facing a must-win
situation to avoid relegation may be highly
motivated. A team out to avenge a defeat earlier
in the season may also be very motivated.
3. Don't chase your losses
When you do run into the inevitable losing
streak, don't panic and make the common
mistake of betting larger amounts in an attempt
to recoup your losses. Instead, examine your
betting methods and reduce your betting
amounts until you start winning again.
Remember - chasing your losses is the single
biggest mistake a punter can make. Once you
start winning again, increase your bets slightly,
but don't go overboard. Unfortunately, like
losing streaks, winning streaks also come to an
end.
4. Bet with your head, not your heart
Make an honest assessment of a team's
chances, not one based on emotions. Don't bet
on a team simply because it's your favorite
without considering the real odds. Be selective
and remember that you will only find value
betting situations in a small number of games.
Betting the entire Premier League fixture list
every week is a risky proposition at best.
5. Value betting - find low risk high reward
action
Successful football betting requires getting
value on your bets. Basically this means getting
better than the "true" odds on your picks. For
instance, if your objective prediction for a game
suggests that Arsenal should have fair odds of
1.30, but bookies offer them at 1.50 then this is
a value-betting proposition. In this case, the risk
to reward ratio is very much in your favour,
making Arsenal a strong play.
6. Bet against public opinion
Certain teams always have a strong public
following. For example Chelsea or Man United
are such teams. High-value bets can often be
found by betting against these teams because
the bookmakers adjust their odds to reflect the
expected amount of public money. Thus, the
underdog is often listed with better odds than
they realistically deserve.
7. Stay abreast of injuries
Watch the injuries, but don't overreact to them.
Judge the importance of an injured player and
the quality of his substitute. Remember that
second-string players are often highly qualified
and are especially motivated when replacing a
starter, so it often pays to bet on a team
missing its best player. The public normally
overreacts to injuries so you may find good
value in this situation. However, beware of
situations where there is more than one injured
key player or there is an injury to the team's
captain or inspirational leader.
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